Real Estate the Right Investment in New York


Whenever, I'm evaluating the best choices for my life, I find it's helpful to start asking questions. Here are a few questions I feel you can ask yourself: Am I still trying to keep my expenses down? Am I more comfortable being in all cash instead of investing? Do I prefer having my money in the stock market? Or maybe, I want to diversify, have cash, money in the markets and own real estate. These are questions only you can answer. But, If you aren't clear on your answer here's what I would recommend based on personal experience (keep in mind, this may or may not be right for you, if anything it will bring you more clarity). I have a really good friend who is actually a self-made billionaire who once said to me "Stick to what you know."

Well I know real estate, I know very little, if nothing, on how to play the stock market (obviously a lot of people have this issue, as I've never personally met anyone who has been successful at it, for me). However people who do know and have those skills and tools do extraordinary well. My experience has been that real estate is an amazing appreciating asset which you can live in and get deductions on. And if you are educated or have a talented real estate agent who can guide you based on your life's needs, you should be able to make money, especially if you are willing to hold your investment for two or more years. And especially if it's a real estate investment in New York City. Because NYC draws investors from the four corners of the globe, there are more people buying here now than ever before, unlike almost any other time in history.

If you're going to buy, buy location. But you still need to figure out what part you want in cash, investments and/or real estate. I personally think owning NYC real estate (especially today with the prices being flat and interest rates being historically low) is the most solid investment one can make, essentially, there is nowhere to go but up. How do I know there is nowhere to go but up? Well... I don't, but prices have been flat... and flat for quite a while, and inventory remains tight.

Even factoring the new development on the horizon, the total listing inventory coming on the market is nothing near to what we had back in the 2005-2008. New development has been depressed since its peak in 2008, and though it seems developers have started to swing into action, inventory will continue to be low for at least a few years as many projects have only recently gotten underway.

But, when the market does take off here... it's going to go! So my suggestion is, if can stick to what you know or know someone who can really educate you to make the right decisions you will be in a great position. Don't just follow the packs as to what is hot, that's where people get into trouble. Be sure to put enough cash down or be in line with what you can afford on a monthly basis, don't over leverage yourself. Look at the comparables before you buy, be educated so you can feel that you made a good decision.

Large investment firms in New York


Large investment firms buying rental properties in the housing markets HOT

In recent articles, we have advocated the benefits of real real cash flow as a method of preservation. We recommended that individual investors who are currently or planning to retire in a look of such assets based on the strategy because of its history of quality yields and low risk benefits.

According to news sources such as Forbes and today the United States, two large institutional firms and hedge funds are smaller starting to see the benefits of this form of investment as well.

In a recent article, industry source said the foreclosure DSNews government-backed Fannie Mae repair has sold 94 properties in Chicago CLL Cogsville Group, a private equity group in New York. As part of this agreement, the financial institution has promised to rent these foreclosed homes for a period of at least three years. The value of residential buildings were valued at $ 13.7 million.

USA Today wrote in an article published on October 21 that Colony Capital LLC, a multinational firm, plans to spend more than $ 1 billion in 2012 and 2013 on residential properties, and expects to have a rental property based composite of between 15,000 and 20,000 homes.

Regions of the United States such as Arizona, which have been hardest hit by the foreclosure crisis, are experiencing unprecedented levels of investor interest. Regional newspaper The Arizona Republic reported on Oct. 22 that about 3,000 homes in the Phoenix area were purchased by major financial institutions. According to the source, a large number of funds and groups that are worth $ 11.5 billion collective will tear residential market in Arizona during the next 18 months.

Because of this interest, we do not know how house prices and inventory levels will be affected in the coming years. Those who may have even a passing interest in the succession of actual cash flows should consider looking deeper into the subject before the properties are financially beneficial caught.

Big Ticket | Sold for $ 11.5 million


Big Ticket | Sold for $ 11.5 million

Marilynn K. Yee / The New York Times
Sales were picking at 15 Union Square West, the building that once housed Tiffany & Company.
Highlights estate
In the section of this week: Vivian Toy, a Times reporter who visited nearly 600 Manhattan apartments, shared his thoughts and fields your questions about buying, selling and related concerns.
Go to the section »
A duplex penthouse apartment overlooking Union Square, with an outdoor fireplace and an infinity pool on its more than 2,000 square feet of terrace, was the biggest sales week flat at $ 11.5 million according to the records of the city.

The sale not only reflects the continued demand for penthouses ultraluxury, but also the resurgence of a building that had seen hard times at the beginning. Three bedrooms 3164 square foot condo was under contract in the spring of 2008, when sales in the building, 15 Union Square West, were first announced. But the market collapsed in the fall, the contract failed, and transactions in the building stalled.

More than three years later, that same apartment sold for more than the price of the contract at the forefront of the market in 2008, said Shlomi Reuveni, a broker at Brown Harris Stevens, who is in charge of sales in the building.

The buyer purchased the property into a limited liability company, limited, according to the records of the city.

"We had one month really incredible year," said Mr. Reuveni. The building is now 80 percent sold, he said, five units remain.

Buildings occupying this Union Square West have taken various forms over the years, but they have all been associated with luxury and money.

In 1837, Charles Lewis Tiffany opened a stationery and fancy goods shop on the corner. As business flourished in 1869, it has funded the construction of a grand, which the New York Times described at the time as a "building iron monster."

Tiffany & Company eventually moved uptown, and the building was sold to Amalgamated Bank. In 1952, an accident involving a falling piece of iron leads to rob the bank façade and cover with a white skin brick.

When the bank sold the building in 2006, the purchaser, Brack Capital Real Estate, decided that he could restore the original cast iron façade, and also use a skin colored glass.

The result has met with mixed criticism. But with more than $ 70 million in sales during the last six months, the money passed, and he seems to be saying former palace of Tiffany jewelry unique to the elite of this era.

Big Ticket includes closed sales from the previous week, ending Wednesday.

East Village Rentals and Neighborhood Highlights


When it comes to living in the East Village neighborhood of Manhattan, New York, you can bet there is plenty of diversity. With a varied section of retail, plenty of bars, amazing nightlife and plenty of restaurants, who wouldn’t want to give East Village rentals a run for the money? NYU is nearby which means it appeals to many young people who are students. Because this University is nearby, this village has more income and an assortment of different things including walking tours, attractions as well as bars and nightlife to enjoy life with than most neighborhoods do.

The East Village is east of the Greenwich Village, South of the village of Gramercy and North of the lower East side of Manhattan. Also, within East Village are smaller neighborhoods which include Alphabet City and the neighborhood of Bowery. Although this neighborhood was once part of the Lower East Side, it created its own entire identity in the late 1950′s. Many artists, students, hippies and musicians moved within the area. The cheap rentals back then is what attracted them. There is still an assorted group in this village; however, the prices of the rentals have gone up in the past years. The East Village lies between 14th street, the Bowery and Broadway.

East Village Rentals and the Quality of Life

With the voluminous trees surrounding East Village rentals and a low number of crimes since 2006, living in the East village can provide an abundant quality of life because of the inexpensive places to live as well as the culture and history. The East Village also has low crime numbers. There were zero crimes in 2006 and 2007. In 2008 and 2009, there were only six homicides which happened in this attractive neighborhood. Also, the travel time to certain neighborhoods surrounding this community is very fast with the quickest travel time being 3 minutes from the East Village to Union Square.
It is low-cost to live in the East Village and this may be why students are so drawn to it. East Village rentals are great for students or someone who wants to stay for a particular season or live here full time. The East Village is known for its block parties and street festivals through the year. Although it is known for its child friendly recreation it is also known for the numerous bars and nightlife which attract the younger generation.The market trends for East Village rentals forecast for 2012 is that the pricing will remain stable. New listings have been hitting the market for the first half of the year and it is expected to go up in the second half of the year. This is good news for the real estate market and for those wanting to try East Village rentals.

East Village Condos and Nearby Attractions

 If there is one thing that is a commodity of living in any East Village condo, it is the neighboring attractions. There are several different attractions one can visit during their stay or life in the East Village.

Restaurants in East Village

East village is famous with its many restaurants…
 There are quite a few restaurants within short driving or walking distance from any East Village condo. You will have various types of food to choose from which include renowned desserts, Ukrainian style food, Italian food and much more. Such restaurants include 16 Handles, 2 Bros. Pizza, 90 Miles to Philly, 26 Seats and a whole lot more.

Bars and Nightlife in East Village

 The East Village is known for its voluminous bars in the area. If you like to have a drink after work with friends and family, why not check out the different bars in this prodigious neighborhood? The different choices you will have with bars include those with live music, a bar with an indoor German garden which also sells German Sausage and a beer/bourbon bar that provides a place to sit outside in their outdoor patio. Such bars include 11th Street Bar, 12th Street Ale House, 5C Cafe and Culture Center and plenty more where those came from.

Shopping in East Village 

 If you like shopping, there are many places to shop in the East Village that are also walking distance or a short drive from your East Village condo. Such shopping places include those that offer souvenirs, tattoo shops, designer clothing, vintage clothing, items for your East Village condo or rental, toys for the kids, music for every music lover and books at discount prices. Such stores and shops include Academy Records & CD’s, Basic Basic, Billy Reid and much more.

A Walking Tour

 When living in any East Village rentals or condo, you can do a walking tour of this remarkable neighborhood. There is a lot of history and landmark buildings for anyone living here or visiting to enjoy. In the walking tour, one can see The Alamo, The Cooper Union, churches and theaters. There is so much culture and history in the East Village that anyone would enjoy a walking tour.

East Village Real Estate Predictions for the Future

view of East village



There have been many predictions for the remaining half of 2012 for East Village real estate. For instance some  experts say that the remaining half will be a good rest of the year for this area. Others predict that the rental prices will rise for East Village rentals and East Village condos. Another expert notes that wealthy buyers are coming into the East Village and buying condos and renting apartments with high amounts of cash. They say this is keeping the luxury market moving at a fast pace like it should. You can also check some options at Aviva.

Whether you want an East Village rental, East Village condo or are just investing in some East Village real estate, things are in between for most people. With the prices being inexpensive and affordable, it is an attractive place to live for most. Those who prefer to live here are the younger generation who are going to school at NYU. Whoever chooses to live in this village will be a lucky person because of its miscellaneous attractions and reasonable places to live.

New York Real Estate Highlights


New York Real Estate Highlights: Madonna, Michael Hirtenstein, Natalie Portman and more ...

New York, real estate is the playground of the stars, and there is much going on right now. Here's a look at recent highlights in the celebrity real estate world, with thanks to Jennifer Gould Keil article in the New York Post, where the original dish came.
Photo credit: Katy Silberger
Celebrity plays in Manhattan New York Real Estate Market
Manhattan real estate has seen its share of star power, but 3K apartment at 416 Washington St. and 92 Laight St. soundss immune to the lure of celebrity when it comes to business. Natalie Portman allegedly tried to rent an apartment in The Lofts River in TriBeCa for 3 months but was rejected as the owner wants to sell. Rachel Maddow MSNBC anchor and other potential tenants for the property 1495000 dollars would also share the property with the actress Meryl Streep, model Karolina Kurkova, Niche Media Jason Binn editor and actress Gwyneth Paltrow.

Prudential Douglas Elliman has negotiated a Miracle Properties LLC New York to an anonymous Internet / computer superstar who bought a unit of 10,000 square feet on the 17th and 18th floors of Jean Nouvel, 100 Ave 11. 23-story building for $ 22 million high-tech. The building is hot, with at least 25 units of contract.
Michael puts his Hirtenstein 25 Bond St. property on the market for $ 50,000 per month after selling its 23 Gramercy Park South home this year, the two plays in preparation to enter her new home $ 13.5 million at 92 Charles Street
And finally, Madonna would purchase horse farm in Bridgehampton Kelly Klein for less than $ 10 million, perhaps in conjunction with another horse farm close to 10 Mitchells Lane. Because no house can be built on the property, it can also be penning a house of 549 Mitchells Lane hired hand, belonging to Michael Minkoff and listed $ 4.4 million. The broker has denied the affair in the first step and then changed to say no comment! Now that's how to gallop in the new year!

New York City Real Estate Relocation Information


New York City Real Estate Relocation Information

New York real estate agents we recommend, are committed to serving your real estate needs. They can help you relocate to New York, and to find the home that suits you. Whether you are looking for a house or a condo, our recommended agents are there to assist you in the purchase of a condo or home for sale. Highly skilled real estate agents can help to negotiate the best price for you, whether you are buying or selling a home. Research all New York real estate listings in the MLS (multiple listing service).
 wonderful places to live in New York City.

New York City  real estate - Central Park -  Manhatten New York
- Central Park-in 
New York City 

Higher Education in New York City:
ACA College of Excellence
The Ailey School (Alvin Ailey American Dance Theater)
Albert Einstein College of Medicine
American Musical and Dramatic Academy
Bank Street College of Education
Bard College
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New York City Adult Education Learning Centers:
Bronx Adult Learning Center (BxALC)
Brooklyn Adult Learning Center (BALC)
Mid-Manhattan Adult Learning Center (MMALC)
Queens Adult Learning Center (QALC)
New York City Education Facts:
100% of New York City Teachers are certified.
Brooklyn Technical High School is the largest high school in the country.
100% of New York City public schools are wired for the Internet
The Department of Education was created in 2002.


New York City homes and real estate - skyline at night
New York City 

New York Real Estate


New York Real Estate



New York Real Estate Investing Specials.



New York, New York, so they named it twice! New York property is known to be among the most expensive in the world, but what people do not realize is that in certain parts of Manhattan and certainly in Queens and Brooklyn, property prices are equal to or less expensive, Sydney, Melbourne or Auckland.



If you plan your New York real estate investment property following, then you might be wise to look at a couple of niches that I found during my stay in New York. I am based there since 2008 and have visited 5 times, staying up to 5 months at a time, so I have a pretty good idea about it.



New York, real estate is second to none. In fact, it is bought and sold like any other. Manhattan is the only place I've found where it is almost impossible to find properties on the Multiple Listing Service (MLS). It is widely excluded such "trivial, common service" and became the exclusive playground of New York real estate brokers. They wheel and deal them, often leaving the buyer with little sense of what is happening not to mention the true price / cost of things. This is not always the case, but you can not buy real estate in New York, no Manhattan real estate without a broker.




Buying real estate in Manhattan can be just as confusing!
Many buyers do not care to know the details and are happy for the broker to do all the work. Life is hard enough in the big apple without running around the house or apartment hunting, although buyers can see a good deal when it is put to them, it is an area of buyers for whom money is not an object, so perpetuate the elitist system between brokers.



The financial crisis has hit New York City hard and we may well see a continued decline in 2011, but it is like no other place on earth and Manhattan in particular has a resilience to external economic factors negative. The real estate market in New York is the same. It's supply and demand based as always, and there is always demand. Regarding supply hopefully they now sell air around buildings as real estate.



That being said, there are real bargains to be found in Manhattan, Queens and Brooklyn. Although you may be hard pressed to find a decent foreclosure in Soho or the West Village, forced sales are quite common in certain suburbs and outer boroughs. Choose the diamond in the rough is the key. New York real estate is as varied as in any city and there are really good areas and bad, sometimes defined by a street, so you need to decide exactly where you want to invest and why. This will determine the type of purchase. Do not just think you want to buy some real estate in New York and start looking.



Last year I stumbled upon a foreclosure in Park St, Brooklyn. A beautiful building in a tree-lined street on the edge of Prospect Park and Parkslope. Within walking distance of the shopping district and the best coffee, schools and metro. The asking price was $ 235,000. I traveled this road on my way to the park and I would really like to live there myself. The property was snapped up less than half its actual value on the market today.



Tell me where you can buy a 2 bedroom apartment in Melbourne or Sydney for $ 235k with all these advantages, and nearly a quarter of the CBD. In addition to this there was a subway ride 5 minutes from downtown Manhattan!




A level 4 house in Manhattan for selling way under a million dollars
There are deals to be if you want to buy real estate in New York. There are special offers currently in Manhattan itself. I saw them. I walked the streets and visited the properties myself, but be prepared to buy rundown and add value. Do not think you are going to buy a large property without a bit of work or without having to pay a lot of money. You can buy an apartment in Manhattan any day of the week. There are thousands for sale. But an apartment, it is exactly that, an apartment, like all the others. If it does not stand out one way or you can not add value, then your little New York real estate sits there, thank you to the current real estate market. Sure, you get a healthy rental amount, but there are huge costs for current and new condominiums York real estate taxes are high, do not expect a lot of changes, if any, at the end of months.



Offers in Manhattan are in houses, apartments not much, unless you can get a cheapy as described above. With a house, you have a choice. With a home in Manhattan, you exclusivity. With a house, your little New York real estate is suddenly a diamond in the rough with options galore, to redesign, multi-tenant, live, what you want, but the main thing is that when the market improves and it is these houses worth millions more than you paid, above the massive equity that you created with the improvements!



Some of you may say "there are houses in Manhattan?". Well yes, there are many of them worth millions and millions of dollars today, because they are many homes and insufficient and this demand. Greenwich Village At that worth 10 million + in the same West Village, Tribeca (more loft style) up to 30 million, even outside of Manhattan in the suburbs green Brooklyn, these houses, renovated worth $ 3-10m!



I would not pay that kind of money as an investor. I am looking for a property near future, where I can add value and long-term future, where I can sit idly by while its value returns .. I have two areas of Manhattan where New York real estate purchase is cheap right now. It will not, because I'm not the only one to have the same vision. I want to be, but I'm not very good. They are almost the only two surviving vestiges of the 70s and 80s, and if you know anything about real estate investing and New York or real estate, you will understand the importance of this fact immediately.



The price I'm looking to have a $ 400,000 capital creation or margin depending on whether you hold or sell now, rent a minimum gross $ 100,000 per year and probably the strongest capital gains perspective in all the country. You be the judge.




Renovated Greenwich Village - Market value $ 10 million today.
If you are interested in this kind of New York real estate investing, and I $ 1 - $ 1.3 million available to you, leave your details and comments below and I will contact you. I'll be in New York from early May to late October, the investment for me, but I'm too happy to help others, if you are serious about your intentions.




What I do know is that New York Real Estate is somehow much later, but often the subtleties of it are poorly understood and certainly deals are not sitting in your living room at home New Zealand or Australia.

New York City Real Estate Investing


New York City Real Estate Investing

Need help finding your next investment property? Contact Us
Elika Associates specializes in investment properties of new York,
as an exclusive buyer agency, we provide our customers with dedication and research quality resulting intelligent real estate purchases.

With years of experience in risk aversion, we understand the needs
of our customers and are able to give sensible know real estate consulting services.


No matter if you are considering residential or commercial properties, New York City is one of the best real estate investment markets in the world. Many analysts predict that the market median price in Manhattan increased from ten to 40 percent over the next five years.

For investors, this is a classic example of strong demand and limited supply. With rising land values ​​with a growing population, national and international interest and limited mass, hundreds of
New York City property to provide their owners with high yields and isolation of unexpected market developments.

However, supply and demand is not absolutely uniform throughout the city. Investment potential varies from one area to. Even if you plan two similar apartments in the same building, an apartment may be a better investment than the other.

The factors that will affect your investment could include:
Type of property. Many cooperative apartments restrict the rights of landowners sublease. Elika agents can help you understand the requirements of sub-lease and avoid unsatisfactory properties.

Tenant. Investment properties attract good and stable long term tenants. You need to understand how to avoid high turnover properties.

Property statistics. Features Utilities, transportation of goods age and neighborhood will affect the investment potential.

Neighborhood-specific markets. Cost of ownership, performance and capital appreciation vary from street to street and development to another. When you invest, you need a real estate agent who has access to all information assets and market analysis.


Working with a NYC Estate Investment real estate experts
Before buying an investment property, you need as much information as possible about its long-term potential. Research and experience makes the difference serious, but you can greatly improve your investment portfolio well planned property purchases.

Elika Associates can help. Whether you already have the property or if you are looking to diversify our investment experts will help you gather accurate information that you can use to make tough decisions.

Our customized services include:

Comprehensive needs analysis - To spend your time wisely, you'll need a real estate expert who understands your goals. We collect essential information before showing properties. Our dedicated agents know what options will work well with your portfolio, and much to analyze your needs, we will never waste your valuable time with inappropriate properties.

Select Property Help - You need accurate information on the properties of an investment. Our experts work exclusively as buyer's agents. They include the investment potential and how to see beyond positive sales copy. We will always offer impartial accurate information about the properties that we show, because we have a strong incentive to help our customers avoid investing warm.

Comparable market analysis - You also need to know how each property compared to the rest of New York City real estate market investment. We provide a similar analysis on the market, so that when you start the purchase process, you will have the confidence and peace of mind in your decision.

Negotiations - We will help you understand the purchasing process in its entirety. When you're ready to make an offer, we will negotiate on your behalf. Purchase price is your single most controllable investment variable, and by understanding your budget and goals, our experts reduce costs significantly.

Referrals - As an exclusive buyer agency, Elika has access to some of the best lawyers, accountants and mortgage bankers in New York. We refer you to excellent companies that can save you money while providing high level services.


Diversify your portfolio with real estate investments in New York is a safe, smart move financially when you work with a qualified agency. With unparalleled knowledge of the real estate market in New York, associated Elika give you impartial information, advice and a wealth of resources that you can use to make a purchase appropriate. Complete the Custom Research Residential or Commercial Search Form beginning customized plan your investment.

France, Économie et finances...


Embargo contre l’Iran : les Saoudiens, maîtres du jeu, se lancent dans le nucléaire avec la Chine
Washington ne laissera pas l'Iran avoir la bombe, a répété Barack Obama mardi 24 janvier lors de son discours sur l'état de l'Union. Téhéran a à nouveau menacé de bloquer le détroit d'Ormuz après l'annonce lundi de la mise en place d'un embargo graduel de l'Union européenne contre le pétrole iranien. « Aucune option n'est exclue », insiste le président américain, alors que le porte-avions USS Abraham Lincoln a franchi sans encombre l'entrée du détroit dimanche, et rejoint l'USS Carl Vinson à l'intérieur du golfe Persique.

France, Économie et finances, Bourse, Pétrole, WTI – Lorrain13 – Une baisse continue : sauf à la pompe ! Le gasoil à la pompe devrait se situer sous les 1.25 EUR. Quand est-il vraiment ? Chez vous que constatez-vous ?
PÉTROLE - Les cours du brut reculent pour la cinquième séance consécutive, le marché pétrolier éprouvant les mêmes craintes que les autres marchés en raison de l'évolution de la situation politique grecque et des signes d'un ralentissement de la croissance de part et d'autre de l'Atlantique. "Si la cohésion politique, sociale et financière de l'Europe s'effondre, cela aura un effet par contrecoup sur la demande (pétrolière)", commente Michael Fitzpatrick (Energy Overview).
France, Economy and Finance, Stocks, Oil, WTI - Lorrain13 - A continued decline: except at the pump! Diesel at the pump should be below 1.25 EUR. When is it really? Home what do you see?
OIL - Crude prices fell for the fifth straight session, the oil market experiencing the same fears as other markets due to the evolution of Greek political situation and signs of a slowdown in growth on both of sides of the Atlantic. "If the political cohesion, social and financial collapse of Europe, it will have a backlash by the demand (oil)," said Michael Fitzpatrick (Energy Overview).

L'économie iranienne est en train d'être « brisée »


Le porte-avions américain Abraham Lincoln a pris dimanche la relève du John Stannis dans le golfe Persique.

Le cours du rial iranien s'est un peu plus effondré après l'annonce des sanctions décidées par l'Europe. En plus des contrats pétroliers, ces sanctions visent les transactions internationales de la banque centrale iranienne, renforçant des mesures similaires déjà mises en oeuvre par les Etats-Unis.

L'Iran a vu la valeur de sa monnaie divisée par deux face au dollar au cours des derniers mois. L'impact sur l'inflation et sur la manne pétrolière semble déjà être énorme (le pays tire l'essentiel de ses devises des exportations de brut).

L'économie iranienne est en train d'être « brisée », estime l'économiste d'origine perse Fereydoun Khavand, interrogé par Le Point. Selon InsideIran, un site iranien d'opposition basé à Washington, la réaction des Iraniens face à la situation économique « oscille entre la panique, le désespoir et la colère ». Un ouvrier iranien père de quatre enfants témoigne : « Je ne peux déjà me payer de la nourriture que pour la moitié du mois. Si les prix augmentent encore et les salaires ne bougent pas, nous allons mourir. »

L'Iran a la capacité de bloquer (au moins provisoirement) le détroit d'Ormuz, l'artère pulmonaire de l'économie planétaire par laquelle transite un cinquième du brut extrait dans le monde. Cette éventualité est devenue un peu plus plausible depuis l'embargo européen. Un baroud d'honneur pourrait tenter ceux qui tiennent la République islamique, s'ils étaient acculés à la fois par les sanctions occidentales et par une nouvelle révolte populaire. Une telle révolte est toutefois jugée improbable à cette heure, tant la répression a été terrible depuis les manifestations contre le pouvoir en 2009.

« Je ne vois pas l'intérêt stratégique de fermer le détroit », déclare à Reuters un haut gradé occidental, « (mais) il est clair qu'ils nous trouvent aussi durs à comprendre que nous-même les trouvons durs à comprendre. »

D'après Robert MacNamara [1h17], c'est la capacité à comprendre l'adversaire qui distingue la résolution de la crise des missiles de Cuba en 1962 de l'escalade du conflit au Vietnam quelques années plus tard. Sur le site d'Al-Jazeera, un commentateur dresse la (longue) liste des erreurs passées commises par les Etats-Unis à l'égard de l'Iran.

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Face à l'Iran, de l'autre côté du golfe Persique, les potentats saoudiens n'ont jamais eu aussi beau jeu. Le pétrole saoudien serait le seul à pouvoir compenser une diminution des exportations de l'Iran. Moins encore que d'habitude, nul ne peut refuser quoi que ce soit à l'Arabie Saoudite, qui a pu stopper l'an dernier à Bahraïn le feu des révoltes populaires du Moyen-Orient allumé par les manifestants iraniens en 2009.

L'Arabie Saoudite a signé le 15 janvier un pacte de coopération nucléaire avec... la Chine ! A des fins pacifiques, bien entendu.

L'aide technologique promise par Pékin (l'un des plus gros consommateurs de pétrole saoudien) succède à des accords similaires signés avec la France, l'Argentine et la Corée du Sud. Riyad compte construire seize réacteurs nucléaires d'ici à 2030.

L'Arabie Saoudite a besoin du nucléaire (civil) parce que les Saoudiens consomment de plus en plus de pétrole, menaçant de réduire les capacités futures d'exportation du royaume. Un peu comme en Iran, en somme : les extractions de brut du plus vieux producteur du Moyen-Orient déclineront d'ici à 2015, pronostique l'Agence internationale de l'énergie...